Friday, February 7, 2014

ETDS NEWS BULLETIN

Second News Bulletin (Dec .2013)

ETDS NEWS BULLETIN

etds   Elastomer Technology Development Society
       


From the desk of the President


Friends                                              
Happy New Year 2014

This is the second issue of the ETDS News Bulletin. It was proposed to publish the News Bulletin quarterly and we are with the second issue welcoming the New Year 2014.

Our Society is going from strength to higher strength. This is reflected in the activity report of our Society. We are getting and support from wider section of the industry and sponsors. ETDS made foray to foreign country on the invitation of large Tire Co. of China – all paid by them. Since last News Bulletin ETDS conducted Seminar at Kolkata jointly with AIRIA - ER, participated at IIT, Kharagpur in PhD students evaluation programme as Guest of Honour, delivering lecture at the third largest Tire Co. in China and recently conducted joint Seminar with AIRIA - SR at Chennai.

Next step is to organize a special “Seminar” in Delhi in early March with sponsorship of a progressive company making industrial rubber products. Suggestion for subject & speakers are welcome. This was discussed on 25th December at the closing meeting of 2013. It was also decided to buid a corpus fund for own office of ETDS.

Industrial atmosphere is still depressed. Under such situation, industry pursuing with modern technology and R & D can make progress and expand market. Emphasis on training and skill development is very important.  ETDS is committed to these causes. 

Appeal for Membership

Elastomer Technology Development Society is a voluntary non-profit organisation and looking for support to organise seminars etc. from which so many benefits and seek your cooperation for the purpose. May I call you all to become life member of the society to support the cause, fee is a small amount.

Activities during last quarter

13th September, 2013 Seminar at Kolkata

A joint Seminar with ETDS was organized by AIRIA – Eastern Region at Kolkata on 13.09.2013 (Friday) at the Hotel Big Boss in the evening followed by Dinner. About 60 delegates from the industry attended the Seminar paying the registration fee. Following talks were delivered by Dr. S. N. Chakravarty, President. A long question hour took place after the lectures.

 “Causes of Failure of Rubber Products” and
“Recycling and Green Projects in Polymer field”

The entire presentation generated huge interest in the audient members.  The clarifications sought for by them were satisfactorily answered by      Dr. Chakravarty.

Mr. Ramesh Kejriwal, then Vice-Chairman of AIRIA (ER) profusely thanked Dr. S. N. Chakravarty and all others present.  He was pleased to release the second book "Rubber Technology and Manufacture of Rubber Products” authored by Dr. Chakravarty. 




Delegates were appraised about ETDS activities & Aim and there were response from some to become member of ETDS. Mr. Abhik Chatterjee will follow up with prospective people. AIRIA–Eastern Region was presented a copy of “Introduction to Tyre Technology” by the President for their Library.


Activity at IIT, Kharagpur, 14th September, 2013
Next day i.e 14th September , on invitation of Prof. G. B. Nando , Head , Rubber Technology Center , IIT, Kharagpur , President attended the Research Scholar Day programme at the Center as Guest of Honour & Judge for the appraisal of the Ph D students  Oral as well as Poster presentation .

Seminar at Ralson India Ltd. Ludhiana on Causes of Failure of Rubber Products on 9th October 2013 at their Conference hall which was attended by technical and production people. On the occasion Mr. Sanjeev Pahwa released the book "Rubber Technology and Manufacture of Rubber Products” authored by Dr. Chakravarty

Release of Rubber Technology book
by Shri Sanjeev Pahwa, MD,
Ralson India authored by
Dr. Chakravarty.
Selected senior technical persons of Ralson India.

Lecture Program in China
Lecture delivered by the President at Triangle Tire Co. Ltd., Weihai, Shandong, China
ETDS is pleased to inform all members & well wishers that on invitation of Triangle Tire Co. Ltd. (third largest tire group of China), our President          Dr. S. N. Chakravarty, delivered talk on Sustainable Technology Development in Elastomer Production & Application – An Indian Perspective” at their main center at Weihai, Shandong on 2nd December 2013 which was attended by the Chairman of the Company & large number of technical, marketing, purchase & HRD people of the company. Talk was followed by prolonged question hour & discussion session. The visit was fully paid by Triangle Tire Co. and no cost to ETDS.

This was the first foray of ETDS outside India
With Chairman of Triangle Tire Co. Ltd.
President delivering lecture at Triangle Tire Co. Ltd. China

Seminar at Chennai
A Seminar jointly with AIRIA, Southern Region was held on 14th December 2013 at Quality Inn, Sabari, T. Nagar in evening. Following lectures were delivered on the occasion.

1.         “Causes of Failure of Rubber Products” – delivered by
Dr. S. N. Chakravarty.

2.         “Recycling and Green Projects in Polymer field” - delivered by
            Mr. Anomitra Chakravarty.

A large number of participants from different sectors of industry were present. Mr. K. Srikanth, Chairman, AIRIA, Southern Region welcome the Speakers and the delegates to the Seminar. Lectures were followed by lively discussion. 

Mr. K. Srikanth, Chairman, AIRIA – SR addressing the gathering
Dr. S. N. Chakravarty delivering the talk
Mr. A.  Chakravarty delivering the talk
Section of the delegates

India Composites Summit & Conference

You will be pleased to know ETDS member & Secretary Finance Mr. Anomitra Chakravarty  was invited to deliver a lecture presentation on  “Wood Plastic Composites – use in Building & Construction sector” at the India Composites Summit & Conference on 25th October 2013 held at Pragati Maidan,         New Delhi. He has been invited as a Keynote Speaker for the Wood Plastic Composite Conference to be held at New Delhi during 17 -18th March 2014.


New Members in last quarter

32
Mr. Uday K. Banerjee – Tire Technologist, New Delhi
09910296405



33
Mr. Satish K. Gupta – Rubber Factory, New Delhi
09312435204



34
Mr. Kamlesh Kumar Jain – Rubber Industry, Kolkata
09830105676



35
Ms. Manasi Pandey – Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd., Noida
09971227432



36
Mr. Sanjay Kumar – Technologist, Unipatch Rubber, Gwalior
09425654680



37
Mr. Ravi Agarwal – S.E. Power Ltd., New Delhi
08745000450

Minutes of the Meeting held on 25th December, 2013
1.         Review of Society activity
President briefed the meeting about the activity during the last quarter of 2013. Seminar at AIRIA - ER (Kolkata), PhD students evaluation programme at IIT, Kharagpur, delivering special lecture in China on the invitation of 3rd largest Tire Co. of China , Seminar with AIRIA - SR  at Chennai etc..
           
2.         President invited others to deliver talks on different occasion. Following members agreed for the same in future. Requested to send the subject and topic of their proposed talk.

            Mr. Amlesh Roy
            Mr. VRS Hudda
            Mr. Vinay Vijayvargia

Mr. Roy enquired about BIS Specification for Repairing & Retrading and requested ITTAC & ETDS to take up with BIS. Mr. Amlesh Roy will send information on BIS Spec. on the subject. Also to ask                   Mr. T. Chakravarty to follow with BIS.

Mr. Alok Goyal suggested to contact MAPLAN (Austrian Company) to organise lecture programme.

3.         Next Seminar is planned in 1st week March, 2014.
            Venue : India Habitat Centre. New Delhi
Seminar will be on “Industrial Rubber Roller Technology and Application” and will be sponsored by Modinagar Rolls Ltd.
           
ITC President Mr. Sanjoy Singh has been contacted for “Chief Guest“ and IPPTA President Mr. Garg as special invitee.

Memento / Badge/ Banner / Back drop / Photographing / Audio visual etc.  First priority is to fix the date and Book the hall.
Next to finalise Lunch etc.

4.         ETDS News Bulletin – Second issue is ready and will be published in the first week of January 2014.
Modinagar Rolls Ltd. confirmed that the Ad in the bulletin is to be given in all issues.

5.         Building Corpus find – It was decided to build up a corpus fund for ETDS office. For the purpose Mr. Alok Goyal, Mr. VRS Hudda,           Mr. Anomitra Chakravarty will be the signatory.

6.         Any other matter
All members present agreed for the Family Get Together Lunch in end January (between 26-30), 2014.   Mr. Alok Goyal is the organiser of this event.










Modinagar Rolls Ltd.
Major Asha Ram Taygi Road,
Modinagar - 201204 (U.P.), INDIA
Mob: +91-9837874874, +91-7500572572
Website: www.modinagarrolls.com



Quality & Ethics

Tyre recall during the last quarter of 2013
1.         Bridgestone recalls 1.20 million Truck / Bus tyres for possible   abnormalities in the tyres “inner liners” (loosing air).
2.         Hankook Tire America recalls 1495 Dynapro tires (LT 325 / 60 R18    RT03) for possible separations at the tread belt edge.
3.         Yokohama recalls 1192 mismarked tyres.
4.         Michelin recalls 1.2 million tyres in USA, Canada, Mexico – commercial LT, heavy duty vans, small RVs & large pickup trucks due to    air loss (LTX M/SLT 225/75 R16, 115/112 RLRE made during Jan. 2010 to June 2012.
5.         Bridgestone recalls tires for cracking problem ( H300 315/80 R22.5    18ply tires ) because of possible carcass at the inner liner splice. –           (Source: Rubber News – daily)
  
6.         General Motors Co’s Chinese venture will recall 1.46 million cars to     replace defective fuel pump brackets in China’s biggest call back since          a new law broadening manufactures liability came into force.

            (Ref: ET dated 01.01.2014)

INDIAN DATA INFORMATION & NEW TECHNOLOGIES

( Ref: Times on India dated: 06.07.2013)
Within BRIC, India is a laggard. But the grouping as a formidable challenger to the century-old economic might of the US

Country
Average Real GDP growth rate since 2001
GDP*
Projected GDP in 2018
Per capita income*
Popul-ation
Consumer inflation rate in 2012
Current account deficit as % of GDP
Total forex
reserves
Market cap of listed companies
Brazil
3.3%
$2,396.0 bn
$3,389.4 bn
$12,078.8
198.4 million
5.4%
-2.3%
$369.6 bn
$1,229.8 bn
Russia
4.7%
$2,022.0 bn
$3,181.5 bn
14,246.8
141.9 million
5.1%
4.0%
$486.6 bn
$874.7 bn
INDIA
7.1%
$1,824.8 bn
$2,975.7 bn
$1,491.9
1,223.2 million
9.3%
-5.1%
$270.6 bn
$1,263.3 bn
China
10.2%
$8,227.0 bn
$14,941.1 bn
$6,075.9
1,354.0 million
2.7%
2.6%
$3,331.1 bn
$3,697.4bn
US
1.6%
$15,684.8 bn
$21,101.4 bn
$49,922.1
314.2
2.1%
-3.1%
$139.1 bn
$18,668 bn

U.S. and Them: The Demographic Dynamics

Country
Passenger cars
Per 1000 people
Internet users
Per 100 people
Mobile phone
Per 100 people
Population living below $1.25 a day
Brazil
178
45.0
124
6.1%
Russia
233
49.0
179
0%
INDIA
12
11.0
72
32.7%
China
44
38.3
73
11.8%
US
423
77.9
93
0%
Welfare Economics (Ref. H.T. dated 10.03.2013)

S.No.

India
Russia
Brazil
UK
Germany
France
Italy
China
Japan











1
Employment (in %)
of total population
54

58

65

57

55

51

44

71

57












2
Population (million)
1223.1
141.92
196.52
63.06
81.77
63.41
60.89
1353
127.6











3

Inflation (in %)
at consumer price in 2012
10.25

5.1

5.23

2.73

2.15

1.92

3.01

3.0

0.04












4

Internet Users
per 100 persons
11
49.3
45
81.7
83.4
76.8
56.8
38.4
78.7











5

Health (in $)
expenditure / capita
54
525
990
3503
4668
4691
3248
221
4065











6

GDP in 2012

$1.9
trillion
$2.0
trillion
$2.4
trillion
$2.4
trillion
$3.4
trillion
$2.6
trillion
$2.0
trillion
$8.3
trillion
$6.0
trillion











7

 Projected GDP in 2025
$6.9
trillion
$5.80
 trillion
$5.2
trillion
$4.6
trillion
$4.4
trillion
$3.5
trillion
$2.4
trillion
$28.1
trillion
$7.8
trillion














INDIAN PARLIAMENT

Year of Election held
1952
1957
1962
1967
1971
1977
1980
1984
1989
1991
1996
1998
1999
2004
2009
Total No. of Seats
489
494
494
520
518
542
529
514
529
521
543
543
543
543
543
Seats Won
by
364
(INC)
371
(INC)
361
(INC)
283
(INC)
352
Cong
(I )
345
JP
353
Cong (I )
404
Cong (I )
143
JD
232
INC
161
BJP
181
BJP
299
BJP
218
INC
262
INC
% Vote share
44.99
47.78
44.72
40.78
43.68
52.74
42.69
49.10
17.79
36.26
20.29
25.59
40.80
35.40
37.32
Source: H.T. dated 26.01.2014

INC – Indian National Congress
Cong ( I ) – Congress ( Indira )
JP – Janata Party
BJP – Bhartia Janata Party


Only once in history any Party ( Janata Party ) has got more than 50% of Vote share

BRIBING IN INDIA
Total bribe paid by adult urban Indians each year Rs. 6, 29, 675 Crore ( 6.3% of GDP, 32% more than IT revenues, 35% more than defense budget, 2151%  more than health expenditure, 942% more than education expenditure, 741% more than food subsidy)

Pattern of bribe

Police for verification of Passport  
30%
Traffic Police
25%
Civic Official to register property
15%
Transport Officials for driving license
10%
Others
20%

Capitals of Corruption

Chennai
Rs. 92,352
Per year per person
Delhi
Rs. 23,175
Per year per person
Mumbai
Rs. 10,101
Per year per person
Bangalore
Rs. 8,618
Per year per person
Kolkata
Rs. 4,760
Per year per person

The urban Indian pays bribe average Rs. 26,932 per year
(Ref: India Today, July, 22, 2013)

Life Line of a Rupee

Year
Rs = 1 USD

1947 ( Independence Day )
1.0
Congress Government
1966 ( Devaluation )
6.35
Congress Government
1973 ( Oil Crisis )
7.67
Congress Government
1975 ( Emergency )
8.41
Partly Janata Dal Govt.
1985 ( Rajiv Gandhi Government )
12.36
Congress Government
1991 ( India mort gages Gold )

22.69
Congress Government
Manmohan Singh – Finance Minister 
1992 ( Devalued by 22% )
25.92
Congress Government
1993 ( Market determined exchange rate )
31.43
Congress Government
1996 ( Import licensing abolished / tariff reduced ) 

35.43
Congress Government
1997
36.32
NDA Government
1998 ( Asian Currency Crisis )
41.27
NDA Government
2002 ( Money laundering Act )
48.60
NDA Government
2004
45.32
Congress Government
UPA - I ( Manmohan Singh PM )
2008 ( World economy crisis )
43.50
Congress Government
2009 ( UPA - II )
48.40
Congress Government
UPA - II ( Manmohan Singh PM )
2012
53.32
Congress Government
2013 (Aug)
Touched 69
Congress Government

First Silver coin introduced in 16th Century, remained largely unchanged till early 20th Century.
 ( Ref: H.T. Aug 26, 2013 )

R&D
Total R&D expense in India doubled since 2007 and is now estimated at $40 billion, says a recent study by Roland Berger Strategy Consultants. Besides, the number of patents filed in the US and Europe by Indian companies has also registered a significant jump. Until very recently, innovation was almost exclusively the preserve of advanced economies. That’s no longer the case.   

India’s standalone contribution to the global pie has improved from 2% to nearly 3%, while US has declined 3% to 24%. India and China now account for nearly 18 % of global R & D spending, with China today the most prominent emerging R&D hub with a global share of 14% of the total worldwide R&D spending.

Share of global R&D spending (%)
Country
2007
2012
US
34.3
31.1
Europe
25.9
24.1
China
9.5
14.2
Japan
13.5
11.2
India
2.0
2.9

However, in comparison to China, India is way behind. Industry experts believe that India need not mimic China to reach the top pedestal. “The Indian economy is gradually but surely waking up to the fact that technological advances need to be sustained through proactive investment into R&D.

Nitin Paranjpe, MR & CEO, Hindustan Unilever, in an earlier interaction with TOI, had said the only driver of innovation was a mismatch between ambition and resources. “If ambition is equal to resource, there is no motivation for innovation,” he said.   
(Ref: TOI, dated 05.12.2012)



GLOBAL INNOVATION INDEX (AVERAGE)

2012
Rank
2012
Rank

Country

Score

1
1
Switzerland
66.6
2
2
Sweden
61.4
3
5
United Kingdom
61.2
4
6
Netherlands
61.1
5
10
USA
60.3
6
4
Finland
59.5
7
8
Hong Kong (China)
59.4
8
3
Singapore
59.4
9
7
Denmark
58.3
10
9
Ireland
57.9


BRICS
35
34
China
44.7
58
54
South Africa
37.6
62
51
Russia
37.2
64
58
Brazil
36.3
66
64
India
36.2










National Sample Survey Office Study
  • 60 million jobs: Job created between 1999-2000 and 2003-04 during the NDA regime
  • 53 million jobs: Job created between 2004-05 to January 2012 during the UPA’s rule
  • 2%: The rise in unemployment rate during 2010-2012
  • The rate increased despite 13.9 million new jobs created between 2010 and 2012
(Ref: Hindustan Times, dated 22.06.2013)
 Human development index
When India’s human development index is adjusted for gender equality, it becomes South Asia’s worst performing, new numbers in the UNDP’s Human Development Report 2013 show. Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh, which are poorer then India and have lower HDIs, all do comparatively better that India when it comes to gender equality. HDI is a composite indicator composed measures for education, health and income.
(Ref: ET dated 04.07.2013)


1.         Under weight children in India – 42.5% under 5 years and 69.5%         anemic ( world average is 10% ).
2.         Poverty level from 2004 – 05 to 2011-12 fell by 2.24% annually.
3.         Material mortality – 212 per lakh live berths during 2007-09.
4.         Housing shortage - in urban areas estimated at 18.78 million units       (2012).
5.         Drinking water sources – only a fourth of India’s population (2011) has            access to piped water in their homes.
6.         Power – more than 400 Million people in India are still without access to electricity.
7.         Sanitation Facility – Half the population defecates in the open (2011).             Only 35% have access to proper facility.
8.         Heath expenditure per capita is USD 44 (2009), China (USD 191)       Bhutan (USD 91), Sri Lanka (USD 65).

Population share % by religion
Hindu
Muslim
Christian
Sikh
1961
83.4
10.7
--
--
1971
82.7
11.2
--
--
1981
82.3
11.7
--
--
1991
81.5
12.6
--
--
2001
80.5
13.4
--
--
Household Monthly per capita consumer expenditure

1125
980
1543
1659

Overall
1128
Fertility Rate – by religion
2.6
3.4
2.3
2.0
                      - by education
                
No education     12 year or more
         3.6                    1.8
--
--
                 - by Wealth Index
Lowest 20% – 3.9 Highest 20% - 1.8
--
Illiterate Woman %
Rural / Urban
50.5 / 22.3
52.6 / 34.5
23.2 / 11.9
40.3 / 23.5
(Source: Census data and Sachar committee Report National Family Health Survey 2005-06 NSS 66th Round (July 2009-June 2010).
(Ref: ET)

12 Technologies that can be Game Changers in 2014

The Certainties : Technologies that have been knocking at our doors and are all ready to storm the market. Together, these four will disrupt industries worth $10-20 trillion over the decade.

1.         IT and Computing SMAC : as the most disruptive force ever in the industry of the IT industry, the unique power of SMAC ( social, mobile, analytics and cloud) comes from the way it combines different technologies. Individual SMAC technologies have developed well over the last few years, and the combination is now ripe for causing big shifts. Mobile phones are selling in large numbers, and networks have matured. Cloud computing is package that is powerful.

2.         Life Sciences and Healthcare - Whole Genome Sequencing :
The complete deconstruction of a human being’s DNA is the most rapidly developing technology ever. It is now also ready for large-scale commercial use, as the cost has come down to a few thousand dollars per genome. A whole genome can now be sequenced in two weeks, and will soon be the basis of prevention and treatment of many diseases. It will be a life-saver for cancer patients, who can hope to get the correct drug based on the genetic basis of the tumor. At some point, whole genome sequencing will be as common as vaccinations for newborns.

3.         Energy/ / Transport: Electric Car :
Driven by the Tesla Model S, electric cars had a good 2013 in the US. Next year, Tesla will expand to other countries, and other companies – Honda, BMW, GM, Volkswagen – are expected to launch new models. Electric cars are predicted to grow steadily till 2020, and dominate after that. In 2014, gear boxes will disappear in some cars, batteries will shrink and range on a single charge will increase. Charging time will shrink too, though still not to the ideal.

4.         Manufacturing : Internet of Things  
Internet of things, or M2M, is jargon for a network of machines. It is actually a set of sensors and motors connected to each other, one for feeding information and the other to act upon this information. Often a hyped technology, Internet of Things will begin to become real next year. Its impact will be left most in the manufacturing sector, a it improves productivity by bringing an exquisite sense of timing to global supply chains. It is no wonder that Internet of Things is sometimes called Industry 4.0.

5.         IT and Computing : Cognitive Computing
Cognitive Computing is a process by which computers learn as they do their tasks and engage with humans like humans. This term was coined by IBM to distinguish it from the more popular term artificial intelligence, and to stress the fact that there is nothing artificial about cognitive computing. IBM’s Watson is the most advanced cognitive computing platform, but few others are also being developed, mostly by startups. Some advances that have long-term significance are likely.

6.         Life Sciences and Healthcare: Wearable Devices
Personal health monitoring is growing in developed markets and even in India, as people monitor their sleep, exercise impact, heart, and progress of pregnancy. The next year will make a significant advance as these devices begin to be connected to hospitals. A wearable devices network can be considered an Internet of Things, and will be influenced by SMAC, and is thus a good illustration how cutting-edge technologies reinforce each other. Wearable device are not just for health monitoring. Watch out for Google Glass.

7.         Energy and Transport : New Batteries
Battery breakthroughs are essential for renewable energy to take off, and the world has waited for long. We need better batteries in electric cars, in solar farms to provide steady power. Now, there are a few candidates that could make a difference to the world of renewable. Some are ready for commercialization, some are early prototypes, some are just proof of concepts. There is a good chance now that one of them could prove to be a winner.

8.         Manufacturing : 3D Printing
3D Printing had an inventing year. As technology has advanced rapidly, gun models for printing were downloaded over 100,000 tomes. 3D printing is set to revolutionize manufacturing, as big players around the world announce their intention to switch to the technique in a big way. Companies doing 3D printing have good revenues and profits, and their stocks are riding high. It is even coming to life sciences, as biotech forms are working printing body parts.

9.         IT computing: Graphene chip
Graphene a single layer of carbon atoms. It was discovered only 2004, but has since shown extraordinary properties in the lab. It is the thinnest and the strongest material that we know, and is also very good conductor of heat and electricity. These properties make it great for computing. Computing needs a breakthrough soon: the copper wiring inside the chip cannot be shrunk for too long. An all-graphene chip would be a great development, as MT and IBM have already shown that the idea can work, in photo-detectors to begin with. Definitely in the wish list for 2014.

10.       Life Science and healthcare:
Nano-medicine is the application of nanotechnology manipulation of matter at the smallest scale-to medicine. As an area of research is not new, but there have been no game-changing commercial applications yet for nanomedicine. Experts believe that there will be one soo, at some point the next few years. Drug delivery using nanoparticles is one of the most promising areas of nanomedicine. Next year could see some important results in the clinical tails currently going n using nanoparticles for delivery. Watch out for some of them in India too.

11.       Energy: Perovskites
Perovskites are a kind of mineral made of calcium titanium oxide discovered in the 19th century. They have now become a hot research material for solar cells because they are cheap and abundant. Perovskites now work at 15% efficiency in the lab. Efficiencies of 25% are not impossible at some point, considering the pace at which research is advancing. It still has some barriers to cross. For example, perovskite cells contain lead, are toxic to the environment if let lose. But it is certainly one the materials to watch materials for in 2014. 

12.       Manufacturing : Printed Electronics

Printed electronics is certain rewrite industries. The only question is when. A beginning could be made next year with printed solar cells, as several novel techniques have been shown to work in the labs this year. Soon, as costs drop, printed could be everywhere on food packets, on newspapers and magazines, manufactured goods and so on. One day, this newspaper could have a video that could cut food waste, generate cheap electricity, power medical devices in our bodies, and so on. And that could spring a surprise next year.